Sunday, July 23, 2023

A pain in the Ukraine?

At a bookstore last year, I picked up a book off of the sale table. The book was "What if the Allies had fallen".  It consists of sixty alternate scenarios of WW 2. It's not one of those "What happens if Superman and Wonder Woman Get into a Fight" books. 

One of the more interesting scenarios was "What if the US had dropped an A-Bomb on a European city instead of a Japanese city?" Fortunately for Europe, the war ended there before the bombs were ready. But it gives all of the armchair generals and politicians food for thought.

The civilian government and the military like to tell us that they have carefully planned and anticipated any problems before undertaking any operation. If we learned anything in Iraq and Afghanistan, it is that they were wrong on so many things. Twenty years in Afghanistan and we left empty handed. However, we left the Taliban with billions of dollars' worth of US military equipment. Yet no one was held responsible for that debacle. 

Our problem is that we look at other cultures and try to figure out what they will do in certain situations without taking into account the cultural details. Let's look at the Battle of Stalingrad. The Germans were sure that they would win because they never considered that the Russians would sacrifice waves of soldiers to overrun the German positions, but the Russians did. Today in the Ukraine we keep talking about high Russian casualties, but they are still there. The Ukrainians are throwing everything that the United States has at the Russians and still haven't won.

"Brain-Dead" Biden has sent the Ukrainians "cluster bombs," a weapon that most countries have banned. This is clearly a step in escalating the war. What will Russia do in response to this? Will they target centers of civilian population? Will they counter our cluster bombs with a step up to tactical nuclear weapons?

What will we do if Russia uses a tactical nuclear weapon in a response to the Ukraine using cluster bombs? Has anyone at that five-sided flophouse across the river from Washington considered this?  Let's be honest here, if we choose to bump up the level of destruction with cluster bombs, what will their response be? Are we willing to start another world war over the Ukraine? 

I did a search about the Ukraine and tactical nukes after writing the above paragraph. Here's a link to an article posted on June 30 in Small Wars Journal. It's an enlightening read. The Ukrainian Nuclear war of 2023 and its Aftermath | Small Wars Journal 

The only good thing that you get from being wrong is that you can learn a lesson about yourself. Yet our government is too arrogant to own up to being wrong. We were wrong in Vietnam, we were wrong in Iraq, we were wrong in Afghanistan, and we will end up being wrong in the Ukraine. 

Should we go ahead and start building a Vietnam style wall in Washington for the names of those who died in Iraq and Afghanistan? Should we save room for the names of those who will die in the Ukraine? 

What is our important national interest in the Ukraine? We are spending billions of dollars there because the Ukrainians bribed the Bidens. I love computers!! In my earlier sentence, I failed to capitalize the B in "Bidens", I just had "bidens". The spelling correction thing opened and offered me "bidets" as a correct word spelling. I'm still laughing!


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